Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Charleroi vs Antwerp

Charleroi vs Antwerp prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-08-17 16:30
Charleroi
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Antwerp
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
28%
2
33%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Charleroi (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

Antwerp (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate30%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charleroi
WDLWW
Antwerp
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 45%
40% +1.5 20%
10% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 30%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Charleroi averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Antwerp averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
28%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Charleroi(A) 1 - 0 Antwerp Home
Apr 2026 Charleroi 2 - 1 Antwerp Home
Jan 2026 Charleroi(A) 2 - 0 Antwerp Home
Aug 2025 Charleroi 1 - 1 Antwerp Draw
May 2025 Charleroi(A) 2 - 1 Antwerp Home

In the last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Charleroi — unbeaten run (home)1
Charleroi — scoring streak (home)1
Antwerp — winless run (away)2
Antwerp — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charleroi Win (1)39%
Draw (X)28%
Antwerp Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 45%
40% +1.5 20%
10% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 55%
60% -1.5 80%
90% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

Charleroi vs Antwerp — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charleroi — scored (home)1.3
Charleroi — conceded (home)1.3
Antwerp — scored (away)0.85
Antwerp — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals2.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Charleroi — BTTS matches (home)60%
Antwerp — BTTS matches (away)30%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charleroi (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against5.2

Antwerp (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charleroi
9 7 13 20 15
Antwerp
10 7 12 14 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Charleroi (home)

For2.1

Antwerp (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Charleroi — total shots (home)14.0
Antwerp — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Charleroi — on target (home)4.8
Antwerp — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.5

Antwerp

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Titraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Pflücke
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Antwerp

V. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Adekami
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Kerk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Scott
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi xG (home)1.33
Antwerp xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

49.78% Possession 49.38%

Team Comparison Charleroi vs Antwerp

80.28% Pass accuracy 77.58%
394.8 Passes per match 386.08
0.04 Goals prevented 0.15
11.3 Fouls committed 12.8
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
2.35 Offsides 2.88
15.98 Tackles per match 19.83

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charleroi vs Antwerp prediction analysis

Review Charleroi vs Antwerp with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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