What markets are included in the Charleroi vs Dender prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Charleroi vs Dender prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Charleroi vs Dender

Charleroi vs Dender prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-08-30 18:45

Charleroi

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Dender

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

26%

29%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Charleroi (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3

Goals conceded / match1.3

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate60%

Dender (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charleroi

WDLWW

Dender

DLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 68%

40% +1.5 21%

10% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Charleroi averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Dender averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

26%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Charleroi(A) 2 - 2 Dender Draw

Aug 2025 Charleroi 3 - 1 Dender Home

Apr 2025 Charleroi 4 - 1 Dender Home

Apr 2025 Charleroi(A) 1 - 2 Dender Away

Feb 2025 Charleroi 5 - 0 Dender Home

In the last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Charleroi — unbeaten run (home)1

Charleroi — scoring streak (home)1

Dender — winless run (away)3

Dender — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charleroi Win (1)45%

Draw (X)26%

Dender Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 68%

40% +1.5 21%

10% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 32%

60% -1.5 79%

90% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Charleroi vs Dender — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charleroi — scored (home)1.3

Charleroi — conceded (home)1.3

Dender — scored (away)0.89

Dender — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Charleroi — BTTS matches (home)60%

Dender — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.572%

Under 8.528%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.552%

Under 10.548%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charleroi (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against5.2

Dender (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charleroi

9 7 13 20 15

Dender

13 9 11 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.569%

Under 2.531%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Charleroi (home)

For2.1

Dender (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Charleroi — total shots (home)14.0

Dender — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Charleroi — on target (home)4.8

Dender — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box4.5

Dender

Inside the box7.87

Outside the box3.26

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Scheidler

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

N. Štulić

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Y. Titraoui

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

P. Pflücke

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Dender

A. Scheidler

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

B. Nsimba

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

D. Toševski

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

D. Hrnčár

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Ferraro

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi xG (home)1.33

Dender xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

49.78% Possession 48.03%

Team Comparison Charleroi vs Dender

80.28% Pass accuracy 75.5%

394.8 Passes per match 390.53

0.04 Goals prevented 0.04

11.3 Fouls committed 11.55

2.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.32

2.35 Offsides 2.16

15.98 Tackles per match 18.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charleroi vs Dender prediction analysis

Review Charleroi vs Dender with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights