What markets are included in the Charleroi vs Genk prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Charleroi vs Genk prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Charleroi vs Genk

Charleroi vs Genk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-19 19:45

Charleroi

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Genk

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

28%

31%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Charleroi (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3

Goals conceded / match1.3

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate60%

Genk (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48

Goals conceded / match1.48

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charleroi

WDLWW

Genk

DWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 81%

40% +1.5 48%

10% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

60% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Charleroi averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Genk averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

28%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Charleroi 2 - 0 Genk Home

Apr 2026 Charleroi(A) 1 - 1 Genk Draw

Dec 2025 Charleroi 2 - 2 Genk Draw

Sep 2025 Charleroi(A) 1 - 0 Genk Home

Feb 2025 Charleroi 1 - 1 Genk Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Charleroi — unbeaten run (home)1

Charleroi — scoring streak (home)1

Genk — winless run (away)1

Genk — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charleroi Win (1)41%

Draw (X)28%

Genk Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 81%

40% +1.5 48%

10% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 19%

60% -1.5 52%

90% -2.5 90%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Charleroi vs Genk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charleroi — scored (home)1.3

Charleroi — conceded (home)1.3

Genk — scored (away)1.48

Genk — conceded (away)1.48

Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Charleroi — BTTS matches (home)60%

Genk — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.583%

Under 7.517%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charleroi (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against5.2

Genk (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charleroi

9 7 13 20 15

Genk

9 9 14 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.573%

Under 2.527%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Charleroi (home)

For2.1

Genk (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Charleroi — total shots (home)14.0

Genk — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Charleroi — on target (home)4.8

Genk — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box4.5

Genk

Inside the box10.12

Outside the box5.95

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Scheidler

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

N. Štulić

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Y. Titraoui

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

P. Pflücke

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target35%

A. Bibout

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Heymans

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target19%

K. Karetsas

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

A. Yokoyama

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi xG (home)1.33

Genk xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

49.78% Possession 58.07%

Team Comparison Charleroi vs Genk

80.28% Pass accuracy 84.85%

394.8 Passes per match 518.93

0.04 Goals prevented 0.08

11.3 Fouls committed 10.88

2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

2.35 Offsides 1.98

15.98 Tackles per match 17.51

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charleroi vs Genk prediction analysis

Review Charleroi vs Genk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights