What markets are included in the Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-09-28 16:30

Charleroi

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

KV Mechelen

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

28%

33%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Charleroi (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3

Goals conceded / match1.3

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate60%

KV Mechelen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2

Goals conceded / match1.8

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charleroi

WDLWW

KV Mechelen

LDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 80%

40% +1.5 30%

10% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Charleroi averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while KV Mechelen averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

28%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Charleroi(A) 0 - 1 KV Mechelen Away

Dec 2025 Charleroi 2 - 0 KV Mechelen Home

Sep 2025 Charleroi 0 - 2 KV Mechelen Away

May 2025 Charleroi(A) 1 - 1 KV Mechelen Draw

Apr 2025 Charleroi 3 - 0 KV Mechelen Home

In the last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Charleroi — unbeaten run (home)1

Charleroi — scoring streak (home)1

KV Mechelen — winless run (away)7

KV Mechelen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charleroi Win (1)39%

Draw (X)28%

KV Mechelen Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 80%

40% +1.5 30%

10% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 20%

60% -1.5 70%

90% -2.5 90%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charleroi — scored (home)1.3

Charleroi — conceded (home)1.3

KV Mechelen — scored (away)1.2

KV Mechelen — conceded (away)1.8

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Charleroi — BTTS matches (home)60%

KV Mechelen — BTTS matches (away)60%

Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.583%

Under 7.517%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charleroi (home)

Corners for6.1

Corners against5.2

KV Mechelen (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charleroi

9 7 13 20 15

KV Mechelen

11 6 4 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.583%

Under 1.517%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Charleroi (home)

For2.1

KV Mechelen (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Charleroi — total shots (home)14.0

KV Mechelen — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Charleroi — on target (home)4.8

KV Mechelen — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box4.5

KV Mechelen

Inside the box6.78

Outside the box3.08

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Scheidler

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

N. Štulić

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Y. Titraoui

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

P. Pflücke

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots KV Mechelen

L. Lauberbach

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target32%

R. Schoofs

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target33%

Bouke Boersma

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

M. van Brederode

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

B. Raman

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi xG (home)1.33

KV Mechelen xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

49.78% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

80.28% Pass accuracy 79.43%

394.8 Passes per match 408.45

0.04 Goals prevented 0.1

11.3 Fouls committed 10.35

2.53 Goalkeeper saves 4

2.35 Offsides 1.46

15.98 Tackles per match 16.55

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction analysis

Review Charleroi vs KV Mechelen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights