Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-08 17:15
Charleroi
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
KVC Westerlo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
22%
2
30%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Charleroi (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

KVC Westerlo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charleroi
WDLWW
KVC Westerlo
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 65%
40% +1.5 35%
10% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
60% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Charleroi averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while KVC Westerlo averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
22%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Charleroi 0 - 1 KVC Westerlo Away
Apr 2026 Charleroi(A) 0 - 2 KVC Westerlo Away
Feb 2026 Charleroi(A) 1 - 2 KVC Westerlo Away
Nov 2025 Charleroi 2 - 0 KVC Westerlo Home
May 2025 Charleroi 4 - 3 KVC Westerlo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Charleroi — unbeaten run (home)1
Charleroi — scoring streak (home)1
KVC Westerlo — winless run (away)1
KVC Westerlo — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charleroi Win (1)48%
Draw (X)22%
KVC Westerlo Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 65%
40% +1.5 35%
10% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 35%
60% -1.5 65%
90% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charleroi — scored (home)1.3
Charleroi — conceded (home)1.3
KVC Westerlo — scored (away)1.2
KVC Westerlo — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Charleroi — BTTS matches (home)60%
KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.578%
Under 8.522%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charleroi (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against5.2

KVC Westerlo (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charleroi
9 7 13 20 15
KVC Westerlo
7 9 13 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Charleroi (home)

For2.1

KVC Westerlo (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Charleroi — total shots (home)14.0
KVC Westerlo — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Charleroi — on target (home)4.8
KVC Westerlo — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.5

KVC Westerlo

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Titraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Pflücke
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots KVC Westerlo

Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi xG (home)1.33
KVC Westerlo xG (away)1.54

Average Possession

49.78% Possession 49.33%

Team Comparison Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo

80.28% Pass accuracy 79.2%
394.8 Passes per match 397.68
0.04 Goals prevented 0.03
11.3 Fouls committed 11.2
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
2.35 Offsides 1
15.98 Tackles per match 16.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo prediction analysis

Review Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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