Prediction Analysis: Charleroi vs OH Leuven
Charleroi vs OH Leuven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2026-08-09
14:00
Charleroi
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
OH Leuven
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
26%
2
29%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Charleroi (Home)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%
OH Leuven (Away)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Charleroi
WDLWW
OH Leuven
LDWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
80%
+0.5
65%
40%
+1.5
20%
10%
+2.5
10%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
Charleroi averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while OH Leuven averages 0.95 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
26%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Charleroi
1 - 1
OH Leuven
Draw
Apr 2026
Charleroi(A)
2 - 0
OH Leuven
Home
Mar 2026
Charleroi
0 - 2
OH Leuven
Away
Jul 2025
Charleroi(A)
2 - 2
OH Leuven
Draw
May 2025
Charleroi
2 - 1
OH Leuven
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Charleroi — unbeaten run (home)1
Charleroi — scoring streak (home)1
OH Leuven — winless run (away)5
OH Leuven — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Charleroi Win (1)45%
Draw (X)26%
OH Leuven Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
80%
+0.5
65%
40%
+1.5
20%
10%
+2.5
10%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
20%
-0.5
35%
60%
-1.5
80%
90%
-2.5
90%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Charleroi vs OH Leuven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Charleroi — scored (home)1.3
Charleroi — conceded (home)1.3
OH Leuven — scored (away)0.95
OH Leuven — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.6
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Charleroi — BTTS matches (home)60%
OH Leuven — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Charleroi (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against5.2
OH Leuven (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against6.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Charleroi
9
7
13
20
15
OH Leuven
7
10
12
20
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Charleroi (home)
For2.1
OH Leuven (away)
For3.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.76
Charleroi
Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots15.16
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.16
OH Leuven
Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.60
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.80
Shots per Game
Charleroi — total shots (home)14.0
OH Leuven — total shots (away)11.2
Shots on Target
Charleroi — on target (home)4.8
OH Leuven — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Charleroi
Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.5
OH Leuven
Inside the box8.93
Outside the box3.93
Player Shots Charleroi
P. Guiagon
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Titraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Pflücke
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots OH Leuven
C. Terho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ikwuemesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Maertens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Vaesen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Charleroi xG (home)1.33
OH Leuven xG (away)1.23
Average Possession
49.78%
Possession
45.85%
Team Comparison Charleroi vs OH Leuven
80.28%
Pass accuracy
76.98%
394.8
Passes per match
348.93
0.04
Goals prevented
0.07
11.3
Fouls committed
14.45
2.53
Goalkeeper saves
3.38
2.35
Offsides
2.2
15.98
Tackles per match
17.28
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Charleroi vs OH Leuven prediction analysis
Review Charleroi vs OH Leuven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights