Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem

Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-09-20 16:15
Charleroi
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Zulte Waregem
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
21%
2
27%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Charleroi (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

Zulte Waregem (Away)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate72%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charleroi
WDLWW
Zulte Waregem
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 78%
40% +1.5 50%
10% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 72%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Charleroi averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Zulte Waregem averages 1.44 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
21%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Charleroi(A) 0 - 1 Zulte Waregem Away
Sep 2025 Charleroi 1 - 2 Zulte Waregem Away
Apr 2023 Charleroi 3 - 2 Zulte Waregem Home
Aug 2022 Charleroi(A) 3 - 1 Zulte Waregem Home
Apr 2022 Charleroi 3 - 0 Zulte Waregem Home

In the last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Charleroi — unbeaten run (home)1
Charleroi — scoring streak (home)1
Zulte Waregem — winless run (away)0
Zulte Waregem — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charleroi Win (1)53%
Draw (X)21%
Zulte Waregem Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 78%
40% +1.5 50%
10% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 22%
60% -1.5 50%
90% -2.5 83%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charleroi — scored (home)1.3
Charleroi — conceded (home)1.3
Zulte Waregem — scored (away)1.44
Zulte Waregem — conceded (away)1.72
Model expected combined goals3.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Charleroi — BTTS matches (home)60%
Zulte Waregem — BTTS matches (away)72%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charleroi (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against5.2

Zulte Waregem (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charleroi
9 7 13 20 15
Zulte Waregem
8 8 11 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Charleroi (home)

For2.1

Zulte Waregem (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Charleroi — total shots (home)14.0
Zulte Waregem — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Charleroi — on target (home)4.8
Zulte Waregem — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.5

Zulte Waregem

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box4.89

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Titraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Pflücke
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Zulte Waregem

A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Erenbjerg
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Joseph Okopu
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Aké
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Ementa
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi xG (home)1.33
Zulte Waregem xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

49.78% Possession 48.33%

Team Comparison Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem

80.28% Pass accuracy 78.83%
394.8 Passes per match 408.36
0.04 Goals prevented 0
11.3 Fouls committed 10.86
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.06
2.35 Offsides 1.48
15.98 Tackles per match 14.97

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem prediction analysis

Review Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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