Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Charlton vs Coventry

Charlton vs Coventry prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-01 15:00
Charlton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Coventry
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
24%
2
47%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Charlton (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate52%

Coventry (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charlton
LWLDL
Coventry
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 87%
13% +1.5 57%
4% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 22%
0% +4.5 9%
52% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Charlton averages 1 goals scored at home, while Coventry averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Charlton 1 - 1 Coventry Draw
Nov 2025 Charlton(A) 1 - 3 Coventry Away

In the last 2 meetings, Charlton won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Charlton — unbeaten run (home)1
Charlton — scoring streak (home)4
Coventry — winless run (away)0
Coventry — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charlton Win (1)29%
Draw (X)24%
Coventry Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 87%
13% +1.5 57%
4% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 22%
0% +4.5 9%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 13%
87% -1.5 43%
96% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 78%
100% -4.5 91%

Charlton vs Coventry — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charlton — scored (home)1
Charlton — conceded (home)1.13
Coventry — scored (away)2
Coventry — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Charlton — BTTS matches (home)52%
Coventry — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charlton (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.3

Coventry (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charlton
11 9 5 16 14
Coventry
9 6 3 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Charlton (home)

For2.4

Coventry (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Charlton — total shots (home)12.8
Coventry — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Charlton — on target (home)4.1
Coventry — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Coventry

Inside the box11.46
Outside the box4.85

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Coventry

H. Wright
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Thomas-Asante
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
E. Simms
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Mason-Clark
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton xG (home)1.03
Coventry xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

42.3% Possession 55.26%

Team Comparison Charlton vs Coventry

70.28% Pass accuracy 80.43%
315.15 Passes per match 438.33
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.05
12.09 Fouls committed 9.41
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 2.7
2.15 Offsides 2.37
13.59 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charlton vs Coventry prediction analysis

Review Charlton vs Coventry with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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