Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Charlton vs Sheffield Wednesday

Charlton vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-18 14:00
Charlton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sheffield Wednesday
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
27%
2
31%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Charlton (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate52%

Sheffield Wednesday (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.96
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charlton
LWLDL
Sheffield Wednesday
WLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 52%
13% +1.5 13%
4% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Charlton averages 1 goals scored at home, while Sheffield Wednesday averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
27%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Charlton(A) 1 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday Draw
Oct 2025 Charlton 2 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday Home
Feb 2020 Charlton(A) 0 - 1 Sheffield Wednesday Away
Nov 2019 Charlton 1 - 3 Sheffield Wednesday Away

In the last 4 meetings, Charlton won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Charlton — unbeaten run (home)1
Charlton — scoring streak (home)4
Sheffield Wednesday — winless run (away)20
Sheffield Wednesday — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charlton Win (1)43%
Draw (X)27%
Sheffield Wednesday Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 52%
13% +1.5 13%
4% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 48%
87% -1.5 87%
96% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Charlton vs Sheffield Wednesday — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charlton — scored (home)1
Charlton — conceded (home)1.13
Sheffield Wednesday — scored (away)0.65
Sheffield Wednesday — conceded (away)1.96
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Charlton — BTTS matches (home)52%
Sheffield Wednesday — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charlton (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.3

Sheffield Wednesday (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charlton
11 9 5 16 14
Sheffield Wednesday
9 9 10 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.587%
Under 0.513%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Charlton (home)

For2.4

Sheffield Wednesday (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Charlton — total shots (home)12.8
Sheffield Wednesday — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Charlton — on target (home)4.1
Sheffield Wednesday — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Sheffield Wednesday

Inside the box5.93
Outside the box2.74

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Sheffield Wednesday

B. Cadamarteri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%
G. Brown
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
B. Bannan
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Lowe
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Yates
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton xG (home)1.03
Sheffield Wednesday xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

42.3% Possession 44.85%

Team Comparison Charlton vs Sheffield Wednesday

70.28% Pass accuracy 72.83%
315.15 Passes per match 360.35
-0.07 Goals prevented 0.08
12.09 Fouls committed 11.8
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 3.91
2.15 Offsides 1.3
13.59 Tackles per match 16.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charlton vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction analysis

Review Charlton vs Sheffield Wednesday with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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