What markets are included in the Charlton vs Southampton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Charlton vs Southampton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Charlton vs Southampton

Charlton vs Southampton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-22 12:30

Charlton

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

45%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Southampton

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

26%

24%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Charlton (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.13

Over 2.5 rate4%

BTTS rate52%

Southampton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.83

Goals conceded / match1.54

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charlton

LWLDL

Southampton

WDWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 92%

13% +1.5 50%

4% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 13%

0% +4.5 8%

52% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Low.

Charlton averages 1 goals scored at home, while Southampton averages 1.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

45%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Charlton(A) 1 - 1 Southampton Draw

Nov 2025 Charlton 1 - 5 Southampton Away

In the last 2 meetings, Charlton won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Charlton — unbeaten run (home)1

Charlton — scoring streak (home)4

Southampton — winless run (away)1

Southampton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charlton Win (1)50%

Draw (X)26%

Southampton Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 92%

13% +1.5 50%

4% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 13%

0% +4.5 8%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 8%

87% -1.5 50%

96% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 87%

100% -4.5 92%

Charlton vs Southampton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charlton — scored (home)1

Charlton — conceded (home)1.13

Southampton — scored (away)1.83

Southampton — conceded (away)1.54

Model expected combined goals2.49

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Charlton — BTTS matches (home)52%

Southampton — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)70%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.564%

Under 7.536%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charlton (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.3

Southampton (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charlton

11 9 5 16 14

Southampton

10 14 15 12 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%

Under 0.54%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Charlton (home)

For2.4

Southampton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Charlton — total shots (home)12.8

Southampton — total shots (away)13.1

Shots on Target

Charlton — on target (home)4.1

Southampton — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charlton

Inside the box7.54

Outside the box3.46

Southampton

Inside the box9.77

Outside the box4.67

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Kelman

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Dykes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Godden

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Fevrier

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Southampton

A. Armstrong

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target48%

Léo Scienza

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target26%

C. Larin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Azaz

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

R. Stewart

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton xG (home)1.03

Southampton xG (away)1.67

Average Possession

42.3% Possession 56.31%

Team Comparison Charlton vs Southampton

70.28% Pass accuracy 83.17%

315.15 Passes per match 479.94

-0.07 Goals prevented -0.06

12.09 Fouls committed 11.02

3.04 Goalkeeper saves 2.52

2.15 Offsides 1.87

13.59 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charlton vs Southampton prediction analysis

Review Charlton vs Southampton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights