Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Charlton vs West Brom

Charlton vs West Brom prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-04 19:45
Charlton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
West Brom
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
28%
2
23%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Charlton (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate52%

West Brom (Away)

Goals scored / match0.87
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Charlton
LWLDL
West Brom
LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 65%
13% +1.5 17%
4% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Charlton averages 1 goals scored at home, while West Brom averages 0.87 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Charlton(A) 1 - 1 West Brom Draw
Nov 2025 Charlton 1 - 0 West Brom Home
Jan 2020 Charlton 2 - 2 West Brom Draw
Jan 2020 Charlton 0 - 1 West Brom Away
Oct 2019 Charlton(A) 2 - 2 West Brom Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Charlton won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Charlton — unbeaten run (home)1
Charlton — scoring streak (home)4
West Brom — winless run (away)1
West Brom — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Charlton Win (1)50%
Draw (X)28%
West Brom Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 65%
13% +1.5 17%
4% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 35%
87% -1.5 83%
96% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Charlton vs West Brom — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Charlton — scored (home)1
Charlton — conceded (home)1.13
West Brom — scored (away)0.87
West Brom — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Charlton — BTTS matches (home)52%
West Brom — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Charlton (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.3

West Brom (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Charlton
11 9 5 16 14
West Brom
12 14 7 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.589%
Under 0.511%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Charlton (home)

For2.4

West Brom (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Charlton — total shots (home)12.8
West Brom — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Charlton — on target (home)4.1
West Brom — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton xG (home)1.03
West Brom xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

42.3% Possession 51.65%

Team Comparison Charlton vs West Brom

70.28% Pass accuracy 80.35%
315.15 Passes per match 449.07
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.03
12.09 Fouls committed 10.24
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 2
2.15 Offsides 1.79
13.59 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Charlton vs West Brom prediction analysis

Review Charlton vs West Brom with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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