What markets are included in the Chaves vs Academica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Chaves vs Academica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Chaves vs Academica

Chaves vs Academica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-08 10:00

Chaves

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Academica

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

29%

31%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Chaves (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Academica (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chaves

WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 0%

35% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Chaves averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Academica averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

29%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2022 Chaves 3 - 2 Academica Home

Dec 2021 Chaves(A) 2 - 1 Academica Home

Apr 2021 Chaves(A) 1 - 2 Academica Away

Dec 2020 Chaves 2 - 1 Academica Home

Feb 2020 Chaves 1 - 2 Academica Away

In the last 5 meetings, Chaves won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Chaves — unbeaten run (home)0

Chaves — scoring streak (home)3

1X2 Probability model

Chaves Win (1)40%

Draw (X)29%

Academica Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 0%

35% +1.5 0%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 100%

65% -1.5 100%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Chaves vs Academica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chaves — scored (home)1.06

Chaves — conceded (home)0.94

Academica — scored (away)0

Academica — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Chaves — BTTS matches (home)41%

Academica — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)20.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chaves (home)

Corners for6.0

Corners against4.0

Academica (away)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chaves

5 11 0 0 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%

Under 0.553%

Over 1.547%

Under 1.553%

Over 2.547%

Under 2.553%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Chaves (home)

For2.9

Academica (away)

Forâ€”

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.540%

Under 19.560%

Over 22.530%

Under 22.570%

Over 25.523%

Under 25.577%

Expected total shots18.60

Chaves

Shots Over 9.548%

Shots Over 11.536%

Shots Over 13.526%

Expected shots10.35

On Target Over 3.548%

On Target Over 4.532%

On Target Over 5.520%

Expected on target3.72

Academica

Shots Over 9.534%

Shots Over 11.523%

Shots Over 13.515%

Expected shots8.26

On Target Over 3.535%

On Target Over 4.521%

On Target Over 5.511%

Expected on target3.01

Shots per Game

Chaves — total shots (home)17.0

Academica — total shots (away)â€”

Shots on Target

Chaves — on target (home)4.0

Academica — on target (away)â€”

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chaves

Inside the box8.31

Outside the box6.46

Academica

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Player Shots Chaves

Roberto

Shots on Target/Game2.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

André Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target29%

David Kusso

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

R. Esajas

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Academica

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chaves xG (home)0

Academica xG (away)-

Average Possession

55.08% Possession -%

Team Comparison Chaves vs Academica

83.67% Pass accuracy 0%

424 Passes per match -

0 Goals prevented -

12.77 Fouls committed -

1.77 Goalkeeper saves -

1.85 Offsides -

17.29 Tackles per match -

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chaves vs Academica prediction analysis

Review Chaves vs Academica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights