Prediction Analysis: Chaves vs Academica
Chaves vs Academica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Chaves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Academica
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Chaves (Home)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%
Academica (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Chaves
WLLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
0%
35%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.
Chaves averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Academica averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2022
Chaves
3 - 2
Academica
Home
Dec 2021
Chaves(A)
2 - 1
Academica
Home
Apr 2021
Chaves(A)
1 - 2
Academica
Away
Dec 2020
Chaves
2 - 1
Academica
Home
Feb 2020
Chaves
1 - 2
Academica
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Chaves won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Chaves — unbeaten run (home)0
Chaves — scoring streak (home)3
1X2 Probability model
Chaves Win (1)40%
Draw (X)29%
Academica Win (2)31%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
0%
35%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
100%
65%
-1.5
100%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Chaves vs Academica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Chaves — scored (home)1.06
Chaves — conceded (home)0.94
Academica — scored (away)0
Academica — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.23
Both Teams To Score
Yes45%
No55%
Rate per Team
Chaves — BTTS matches (home)41%
Academica — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)20.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Chaves (home)
Corners for6.0
Corners against4.0
Academica (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Chaves
5
11
0
0
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.547%
Under 1.553%
Over 2.547%
Under 2.553%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Chaves (home)
For2.9
Academica (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.540%
Under 19.560%
Over 22.530%
Under 22.570%
Over 25.523%
Under 25.577%
Expected total shots18.60
Chaves
Shots Over 9.548%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.35
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.72
Academica
Shots Over 9.534%
Shots Over 11.523%
Shots Over 13.515%
Expected shots8.26
On Target Over 3.535%
On Target Over 4.521%
On Target Over 5.511%
Expected on target3.01
Shots per Game
Chaves — total shots (home)17.0
Academica — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Chaves — on target (home)4.0
Academica — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Chaves
Inside the box8.31
Outside the box6.46
Academica
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Chaves
Roberto
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
André Rodrigues
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Reinaldo
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
David Kusso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Esajas
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots Academica
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Chaves xG (home)0
Academica xG (away)-
Average Possession
55.08%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Chaves vs Academica
83.67%
Pass accuracy
0%
424
Passes per match
-
0
Goals prevented
-
12.77
Fouls committed
-
1.77
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.85
Offsides
-
17.29
Tackles per match
-
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Chaves vs Academica prediction analysis
Review Chaves vs Academica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights