What markets are included in the Chelsea vs West Ham prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Chelsea vs West Ham prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Chelsea vs West Ham

Chelsea vs West Ham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-02-03 20:00

Chelsea

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

West Ham

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

24%

26%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Chelsea (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

West Ham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chelsea

WWLWW

West Ham

WLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 89%

53% +1.5 26%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Chelsea averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while West Ham averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

24%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Chelsea 3 - 2 West Ham Home

Aug 2025 Chelsea(A) 5 - 1 West Ham Home

Feb 2025 Chelsea 2 - 1 West Ham Home

Sep 2024 Chelsea(A) 3 - 0 West Ham Home

May 2024 Chelsea 5 - 0 West Ham Home

In the last 5 meetings, Chelsea won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Chelsea — unbeaten run (home)10

Chelsea — scoring streak (home)18

West Ham — winless run (away)0

West Ham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chelsea Win (1)50%

Draw (X)24%

West Ham Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 89%

53% +1.5 26%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 11%

47% -1.5 74%

74% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Chelsea vs West Ham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chelsea — scored (home)1.84

Chelsea — conceded (home)0.95

West Ham — scored (away)1.21

West Ham — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Chelsea — BTTS matches (home)63%

West Ham — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%

Under 4.513%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chelsea (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against3.4

West Ham (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chelsea

12 9 10 9 11

West Ham

9 4 13 15 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Chelsea (home)

For2.8

West Ham (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Chelsea — total shots (home)17.8

West Ham — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Chelsea — on target (home)6.7

West Ham — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chelsea

Inside the box10.37

Outside the box5.29

West Ham

Inside the box8.84

Outside the box3.68

Player Shots Chelsea

N. Madueke

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

C. Palmer

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target30%

N. Jackson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Chalobah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

Pedro Neto

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots West Ham

M. Kudus

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Kilman

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target5%

+1.5 On Target3%

J. Bowen

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target26%

Emerson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Antonio

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelsea xG (home)1.82

West Ham xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

57.18% Possession 48.63%

Team Comparison Chelsea vs West Ham

86.29% Pass accuracy 82.16%

520.5 Passes per match 444.29

0.11 Goals prevented -0.18

11.47 Fouls committed 11.66

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.47

1.76 Offsides 1.97

15.39 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chelsea vs West Ham prediction analysis

Review Chelsea vs West Ham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights