Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs Alianza Valledupar

Chico vs Alianza Valledupar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-05-18 01:10
Chico
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
29%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Alianza Valledupar
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
32%
2
34%
Under 2.5
71%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Alianza Valledupar (Away)

Goals scored / match0.9
Goals conceded / match1.45
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico
LLLWD
Alianza Valledupar
LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 55%
20% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Alianza Valledupar averages 0.9 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
32%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Chico(A) 0 - 2 Alianza Valledupar Away
May 2025 Chico 2 - 1 Alianza Valledupar Home

In the last 2 meetings, Chico won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0
Chico — scoring streak (home)1
Alianza Valledupar — winless run (away)1
Alianza Valledupar — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)34%
Draw (X)32%
Alianza Valledupar Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 55%
20% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 45%
80% -1.5 75%
100% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs Alianza Valledupar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8
Chico — conceded (home)1
Alianza Valledupar — scored (away)0.9
Alianza Valledupar — conceded (away)1.45
Model expected combined goals1.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%
Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Alianza Valledupar (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico
5 4 7 10 2
Alianza Valledupar
16 11 9 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

Alianza Valledupar (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9
Alianza Valledupar — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5
Alianza Valledupar — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Alianza Valledupar

Inside the box6.4
Outside the box5.8

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Alianza Valledupar

C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target53%
F. Pardo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02
Alianza Valledupar xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 49.88%

Team Comparison Chico vs Alianza Valledupar

77.73% Pass accuracy 78.53%
328.68 Passes per match 349.75
0 Goals prevented 0
11.03 Fouls committed 12
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.55
1.68 Offsides 1.97
10.13 Tackles per match 12.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs Alianza Valledupar prediction analysis

Review Chico vs Alianza Valledupar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top