Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs America de Cali

Chico vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-06 23:10
Chico
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
25%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
America de Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
34%
2
35%
Under 2.5
75%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

America de Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico
LLLWD
America de Cali
WLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 62%
20% +1.5 19%
0% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 25%. Model confidence is High.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
34%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Chico 0 - 2 America de Cali Away
Mar 2025 Chico(A) 0 - 3 America de Cali Away

In the last 2 meetings, Chico won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0
Chico — scoring streak (home)1
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)32%
Draw (X)34%
America de Cali Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 62%
20% +1.5 19%
0% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 38%
80% -1.5 81%
100% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8
Chico — conceded (home)1
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals1.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

America de Cali (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico
5 4 7 10 2
America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

America de Cali (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02
America de Cali xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 52.4%

Team Comparison Chico vs America de Cali

77.73% Pass accuracy 81.27%
328.68 Passes per match 393.67
0 Goals prevented 0
11.03 Fouls committed 12.02
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.68 Offsides 1.86
10.13 Tackles per match 12.15

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs America de Cali prediction analysis

Review Chico vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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