What markets are included in the Chico vs Deportes Tolima prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Chico vs Deportes Tolima prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs Deportes Tolima

Chico vs Deportes Tolima prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-02 01:10

Chico

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Deportes Tolima

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

31%

29%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate40%

Deportes Tolima (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.04

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico

LLLWD

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 74%

20% +1.5 33%

0% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

40% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Deportes Tolima averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

31%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Chico(A) 0 - 4 Deportes Tolima Away

Apr 2025 Chico 1 - 4 Deportes Tolima Away

In the last 2 meetings, Chico won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0

Chico — scoring streak (home)1

Deportes Tolima — winless run (away)2

Deportes Tolima — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)40%

Draw (X)31%

Deportes Tolima Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 74%

20% +1.5 33%

0% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 26%

80% -1.5 67%

100% -2.5 85%

100% -3.5 96%

100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs Deportes Tolima — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8

Chico — conceded (home)1

Deportes Tolima — scored (away)1.26

Deportes Tolima — conceded (away)1.04

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.575%

Under 7.525%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.5

Deportes Tolima (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico

5 4 7 10 2

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

Deportes Tolima (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9

Deportes Tolima — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5

Deportes Tolima — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88

Outside the box5.28

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

J. Molina

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

E. Banguero

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Arango

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target4%

J. Bocanegra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02

Deportes Tolima xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 53.69%

Team Comparison Chico vs Deportes Tolima

77.73% Pass accuracy 81.54%

328.68 Passes per match 409.22

0 Goals prevented 0

11.03 Fouls committed 10.46

3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.68 Offsides 1.42

10.13 Tackles per match 11.89

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs Deportes Tolima prediction analysis

Review Chico vs Deportes Tolima with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights