Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs Deportivo Cali

Chico vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-08-25 23:00
Chico
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
31%
2
31%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico
LLLWD
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
31%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Chico 0 - 0 Deportivo Cali Draw
Mar 2025 Chico(A) 0 - 0 Deportivo Cali Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Chico won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0
Chico — scoring streak (home)1
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)39%
Draw (X)31%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 55%
80% -1.5 80%
100% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8
Chico — conceded (home)1
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico
5 4 7 10 2
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Chico vs Deportivo Cali

77.73% Pass accuracy 78%
328.68 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
11.03 Fouls committed 13.64
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.68 Offsides 1.97
10.13 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review Chico vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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