What markets are included in the Chico vs Deportivo Pasto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Chico vs Deportivo Pasto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs Deportivo Pasto

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-07-26 21:00

Chico

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

27%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Deportivo Pasto

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

32%

25%

Under 2.5

73%

BTTS No

66%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate40%

Deportivo Pasto (Away)

Goals scored / match0.55

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico

LLLWD

Deportivo Pasto

WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 45%

20% +1.5 10%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pasto averages 0.55 goals scored away.

Model Strength

73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

32%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

27%

BTTS Yes

34%

Head-to-Head last 4

Sep 2025 Chico(A) 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Away

Jul 2025 Chico 2 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Draw

Mar 2025 Chico 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Draw

Feb 2025 Chico(A) 0 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Away

In the last 4 meetings, Chico won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0

Chico — scoring streak (home)1

Deportivo Pasto — winless run (away)17

Deportivo Pasto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)42%

Draw (X)32%

Deportivo Pasto Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 45%

20% +1.5 10%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 55%

80% -1.5 90%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8

Chico — conceded (home)1

Deportivo Pasto — scored (away)0.55

Deportivo Pasto — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals1.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%

No66%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%

Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.5

Deportivo Pasto (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico

5 4 7 10 2

Deportivo Pasto

7 16 11 5 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.598%

Under 2.52%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

Deportivo Pasto (away)

For3.7

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9

Deportivo Pasto — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5

Deportivo Pasto — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88

Outside the box5.28

Deportivo Pasto

Inside the box5.88

Outside the box5.6

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

J. Molina

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

E. Banguero

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Arango

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target4%

J. Bocanegra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Deportivo Pasto

Y. Valois

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target56%

F. Boné

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Camacho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Rivas

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02

Deportivo Pasto xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Chico vs Deportivo Pasto

77.73% Pass accuracy 78.88%

328.68 Passes per match 317.15

0 Goals prevented 0

11.03 Fouls committed 13.58

3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.68 Offsides 1.58

10.13 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto prediction analysis

Review Chico vs Deportivo Pasto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights