Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs Deportivo Pereira

Chico vs Deportivo Pereira prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-09-22 01:30
Chico
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Pereira
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
30%
2
25%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Deportivo Pereira (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico
LLLWD
Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 15%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pereira averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
30%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Chico 1 - 1 Deportivo Pereira Draw
Apr 2025 Chico(A) 1 - 1 Deportivo Pereira Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Chico won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0
Chico — scoring streak (home)1
Deportivo Pereira — winless run (away)15
Deportivo Pereira — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)45%
Draw (X)30%
Deportivo Pereira Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 15%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 55%
80% -1.5 85%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs Deportivo Pereira — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8
Chico — conceded (home)1
Deportivo Pereira — scored (away)0.65
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%
Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Deportivo Pereira (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico
5 4 7 10 2
Deportivo Pereira
10 7 11 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

Deportivo Pereira (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9
Deportivo Pereira — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5
Deportivo Pereira — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Deportivo Pereira

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Deportivo Pereira

D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02
Deportivo Pereira xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 45.4%

Team Comparison Chico vs Deportivo Pereira

77.73% Pass accuracy 75.78%
328.68 Passes per match 315.05
0 Goals prevented 0
11.03 Fouls committed 13.2
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 3.45
1.68 Offsides 2.03
10.13 Tackles per match 11.3

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs Deportivo Pereira prediction analysis

Review Chico vs Deportivo Pereira with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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