Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs Envigado

Chico vs Envigado prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-05-06 01:00
Chico
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Envigado
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
31%
2
41%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Envigado (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico
LLLWD
Envigado
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Envigado averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
31%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Chico(A) 2 - 0 Envigado Home
May 2025 Chico 1 - 0 Envigado Home

In the last 2 meetings, Chico won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0
Chico — scoring streak (home)1
Envigado — winless run (away)0
Envigado — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)28%
Draw (X)31%
Envigado Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 55%
80% -1.5 70%
100% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs Envigado — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8
Chico — conceded (home)1
Envigado — scored (away)0.95
Envigado — conceded (away)1.15
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%
Envigado — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Envigado (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico
5 4 7 10 2
Envigado
3 4 12 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.598%
Under 2.52%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

Envigado (away)

For4.2

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9
Envigado — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5
Envigado — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Envigado

Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02
Envigado xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 43.18%

Team Comparison Chico vs Envigado

77.73% Pass accuracy 74.7%
328.68 Passes per match 285.13
0 Goals prevented 0
11.03 Fouls committed 14.18
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.9
1.68 Offsides 1.74
10.13 Tackles per match 11.08

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs Envigado prediction analysis

Review Chico vs Envigado with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top