Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Chico vs Millonarios

Chico vs Millonarios prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-13 01:20
Chico
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Millonarios
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
30%
2
35%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Chico (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Millonarios (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Chico
LLLWD
Millonarios
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 74%
20% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Chico averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Millonarios averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
30%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Chico 1 - 2 Millonarios Away
May 2025 Chico(A) 2 - 4 Millonarios Away

In the last 2 meetings, Chico won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Chico — unbeaten run (home)0
Chico — scoring streak (home)1
Millonarios — winless run (away)0
Millonarios — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Chico Win (1)35%
Draw (X)30%
Millonarios Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 74%
20% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 26%
80% -1.5 61%
100% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Chico vs Millonarios — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Chico — scored (home)0.8
Chico — conceded (home)1
Millonarios — scored (away)1.17
Millonarios — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Chico — BTTS matches (home)40%
Millonarios — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Chico (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Millonarios (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chico
5 4 7 10 2
Millonarios
10 6 14 6 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.598%
Under 2.52%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Chico (home)

For2.7

Millonarios (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Chico — total shots (home)11.9
Millonarios — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Chico — on target (home)3.5
Millonarios — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box6.74

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Falcao
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chico xG (home)1.02
Millonarios xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

47.6% Possession 51.83%

Team Comparison Chico vs Millonarios

77.73% Pass accuracy 80.8%
328.68 Passes per match 372.59
0 Goals prevented 0
11.03 Fouls committed 11.65
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.78
1.68 Offsides 1.8
10.13 Tackles per match 13.87

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Chico vs Millonarios prediction analysis

Review Chico vs Millonarios with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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