Prediction Analysis: Club America vs Atletico San Luis
Club America vs Atletico San Luis prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga MX
2026-08-16
23:00
Club America
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Atletico San Luis
Away
Prediction Summary
1
48%
X
23%
2
29%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Club America (Home)
Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%
Atletico San Luis (Away)
Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate72%
Team Form last 5 matches
Club America
DWDDL
Atletico San Luis
DLLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
89%
+0.5
94%
58%
+1.5
44%
21%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
72%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
Club America averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Atletico San Luis averages 1.56 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
48%
Draw
23%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Club America
0 - 2
Atletico San Luis
Away
Sep 2025
Club America(A)
1 - 0
Atletico San Luis
Home
Jan 2025
Club America
3 - 0
Atletico San Luis
Home
Jul 2024
Club America(A)
1 - 2
Atletico San Luis
Away
Mar 2024
Club America
2 - 1
Atletico San Luis
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Club America won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Club America — unbeaten run (home)1
Club America — scoring streak (home)1
Atletico San Luis — winless run (away)3
Atletico San Luis — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Club America Win (1)48%
Draw (X)23%
Atletico San Luis Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
89%
+0.5
94%
58%
+1.5
44%
21%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
11%
-0.5
6%
42%
-1.5
56%
79%
-2.5
89%
95%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
Club America vs Atletico San Luis — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Club America — scored (home)1.74
Club America — conceded (home)1.05
Atletico San Luis — scored (away)1.56
Atletico San Luis — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals3.06
Both Teams To Score
Yes60%
No40%
Rate per Team
Club America — BTTS matches (home)53%
Atletico San Luis — BTTS matches (away)72%
Combined (simple average)62.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Club America (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against3.2
Atletico San Luis (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against4.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Club America
7
8
19
14
10
Atletico San Luis
9
13
8
8
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Club America (home)
For1.7
Atletico San Luis (away)
For2.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.82
Club America
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.557%
Expected shots15.13
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.560%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.46
Atletico San Luis
Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.68
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.68
Shots per Game
Club America — total shots (home)16.9
Atletico San Luis — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Club America — on target (home)6.3
Atletico San Luis — on target (away)4.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Club America
Inside the box8.24
Outside the box6.5
Atletico San Luis
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.71
Player Shots Club America
A. Cervantes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Raphael Veiga
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Aguirre
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Atletico San Luis
J. Galvão
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target38%
L. Flores
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Pérez Bouquet
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Klimowicz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Galdames
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Club America xG (home)1.39
Atletico San Luis xG (away)1.25
Average Possession
56.76%
Possession
47.26%
Team Comparison Club America vs Atletico San Luis
86.64%
Pass accuracy
79.47%
470.21
Passes per match
374.26
-0.04
Goals prevented
-0.11
10.18
Fouls committed
11.91
2.11
Goalkeeper saves
3.21
1.39
Offsides
0.91
13.9
Tackles per match
13.14
League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Club America vs Atletico San Luis prediction analysis
Review Club America vs Atletico San Luis with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights