Prediction Analysis: Club America vs Santos Laguna
Club America vs Santos Laguna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga MX
2026-08-02
23:00
Club America
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Santos Laguna
Away
Prediction Summary
1
63%
X
20%
2
17%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Club America (Home)
Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%
Santos Laguna (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.61
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Club America
DWDDL
Santos Laguna
LLWLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
89%
+0.5
67%
58%
+1.5
39%
21%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.
Club America averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Santos Laguna averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
63%
Draw
20%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Club America(A)
1 - 1
Santos Laguna
Draw
Oct 2025
Club America
3 - 0
Santos Laguna
Home
Jan 2025
Club America(A)
4 - 1
Santos Laguna
Home
Oct 2024
Club America
3 - 0
Santos Laguna
Home
Apr 2024
Club America(A)
1 - 1
Santos Laguna
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Club America won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Club America — unbeaten run (home)1
Club America — scoring streak (home)1
Santos Laguna — winless run (away)4
Santos Laguna — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Club America Win (1)63%
Draw (X)20%
Santos Laguna Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
89%
+0.5
67%
58%
+1.5
39%
21%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
11%
-0.5
33%
42%
-1.5
61%
79%
-2.5
100%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Club America vs Santos Laguna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Club America — scored (home)1.74
Club America — conceded (home)1.05
Santos Laguna — scored (away)1.06
Santos Laguna — conceded (away)2.61
Model expected combined goals3.23
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
Club America — BTTS matches (home)53%
Santos Laguna — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)60%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Club America (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against3.2
Santos Laguna (away)
Corners for4.3
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Club America
7
8
19
14
10
Santos Laguna
9
13
9
9
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Club America (home)
For1.7
Santos Laguna (away)
For2.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.32
Club America
Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.563%
Expected shots16.07
On Target Over 3.578%
On Target Over 4.565%
On Target Over 5.550%
Expected on target5.84
Santos Laguna
Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.25
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.45
Shots per Game
Club America — total shots (home)16.9
Santos Laguna — total shots (away)9.4
Shots on Target
Club America — on target (home)6.3
Santos Laguna — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Club America
Inside the box8.24
Outside the box6.5
Santos Laguna
Inside the box6.85
Outside the box3.91
Player Shots Club America
A. Cervantes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Raphael Veiga
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Aguirre
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Santos Laguna
Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Di Yorio
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target93%
+1.5 On Target33%
H. Ortega
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Amione
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
R. Sordo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Club America xG (home)1.39
Santos Laguna xG (away)1.25
Average Possession
56.76%
Possession
44.74%
Team Comparison Club America vs Santos Laguna
86.64%
Pass accuracy
75.21%
470.21
Passes per match
317.5
-0.04
Goals prevented
-0.09
10.18
Fouls committed
13.32
2.11
Goalkeeper saves
4.15
1.39
Offsides
1.75
13.9
Tackles per match
16.17
League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Club America vs Santos Laguna prediction analysis
Review Club America vs Santos Laguna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights