Prediction Analysis: Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2025-10-05
16:30
Club Brugge KV
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
23%
2
32%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Club Brugge KV (Home)
Goals scored / match2.8
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate55%
Union St. Gilloise (Away)
Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%
Team Form last 5 matches
Club Brugge KV
WDWWW
Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
65%
85%
+1.5
25%
40%
+2.5
20%
35%
+3.5
5%
20%
+4.5
0%
55%
BTTS
55%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.
Club Brugge KV averages 2.8 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1.15 goals scored away.
Model Strength
64%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
23%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Club Brugge KV
5 - 0
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Apr 2026
Club Brugge KV(A)
1 - 2
Union St. Gilloise
Away
Feb 2026
Club Brugge KV(A)
0 - 1
Union St. Gilloise
Away
Oct 2025
Club Brugge KV
1 - 0
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Apr 2025
Club Brugge KV(A)
0 - 0
Union St. Gilloise
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Club Brugge KV won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Club Brugge KV — unbeaten run (home)10
Club Brugge KV — scoring streak (home)12
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)3
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Club Brugge KV Win (1)45%
Draw (X)23%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)32%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
65%
85%
+1.5
25%
40%
+2.5
20%
35%
+3.5
5%
20%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
35%
15%
-1.5
75%
60%
-2.5
80%
65%
-3.5
95%
80%
-4.5
100%
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Club Brugge KV — scored (home)2.8
Club Brugge KV — conceded (home)1.1
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.23
Both Teams To Score
Yes64%
No36%
Rate per Team
Club Brugge KV — BTTS matches (home)55%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Club Brugge KV (home)
Corners for7.4
Corners against4.0
Union St. Gilloise (away)
Corners for5.4
Corners against4.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Club Brugge KV
12
8
16
8
13
Union St. Gilloise
10
6
16
13
5
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Club Brugge KV (home)
For0.9
Union St. Gilloise (away)
For3.1
Shots per Game
Club Brugge KV — total shots (home)20.3
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)14.1
Shots on Target
Club Brugge KV — on target (home)7.2
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)4.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Club Brugge KV
Inside the box12.55
Outside the box4.88
Union St. Gilloise
Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2
Player Shots Club Brugge KV
C. Tzolis
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target28%
N. Tresoldi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target28%
A. Stanković
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Carlos Forbs
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target5%
H. Vetlesen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target12%
Player Shots Union St. Gilloise
P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Brugge KV xG (home)2
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.7
Average Possession
60.35%
Possession
52.1%
Team Comparison Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise
85.55%
Pass accuracy
79.8%
548.35
Passes per match
431.95
-0.23
Goals prevented
0.07
9.95
Fouls committed
12.1
2.75
Goalkeeper saves
1.85
1.35
Offsides
2.53
14.43
Tackles per match
18.43
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis
Review Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights