Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL

Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga MX 2026-08-01 23:00
Club Queretaro
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Tigres UANL
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
27%
2
34%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Club Queretaro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate50%

Tigres UANL (Away)

Goals scored / match1.27
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Club Queretaro
LWDDW
Tigres UANL
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

72% +0.5 77%
33% +1.5 32%
22% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Club Queretaro averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Tigres UANL averages 1.27 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
27%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Club Queretaro(A) 0 - 0 Tigres UANL Draw
Sep 2025 Club Queretaro 0 - 2 Tigres UANL Away
Mar 2025 Club Queretaro(A) 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Away
Sep 2024 Club Queretaro 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Home
Jan 2024 Club Queretaro 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Club Queretaro won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Club Queretaro — unbeaten run (home)0
Club Queretaro — scoring streak (home)0
Tigres UANL — winless run (away)7
Tigres UANL — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Club Queretaro Win (1)40%
Draw (X)27%
Tigres UANL Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

72% +0.5 77%
33% +1.5 32%
22% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

28% -0.5 23%
67% -1.5 68%
78% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 100%

Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Club Queretaro — scored (home)1.28
Club Queretaro — conceded (home)1.17
Tigres UANL — scored (away)1.27
Tigres UANL — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Club Queretaro — BTTS matches (home)50%
Tigres UANL — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Club Queretaro (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.7

Tigres UANL (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Club Queretaro
9 16 9 15 14
Tigres UANL
9 7 8 14 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Club Queretaro (home)

For2.9

Tigres UANL (away)

For3.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.85

Club Queretaro

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.42
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.35

Tigres UANL

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.43
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.44

Shots per Game

Club Queretaro — total shots (home)11.2
Tigres UANL — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Club Queretaro — on target (home)3.6
Tigres UANL — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Club Queretaro

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box4.65

Tigres UANL

Inside the box9.55
Outside the box5.48

Player Shots Club Queretaro

A. Perez
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Homenchenko
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target24%
M. Coronel
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Julio
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Tigres UANL

M. Farfan
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
Á. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target41%
J. Brunetta
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
N. Ibáñez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%
O. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Club Queretaro xG (home)1.32
Tigres UANL xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

36.5% Possession 54.43%

Team Comparison Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL

76.53% Pass accuracy 83.34%
287.94 Passes per match 452.86
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.52
12.88 Fouls committed 12.86
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.86
1.94 Offsides 1.53
16.37 Tackles per match 14.58

League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL prediction analysis

Review Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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