Prediction Analysis: Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga MX
2026-08-17
03:00
Club Tijuana
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Cruz Azul
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Club Tijuana (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate48%
Cruz Azul (Away)
Goals scored / match1.7
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate78%
Team Form last 5 matches
Club Tijuana
WWDWD
Cruz Azul
WWWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
86%
+0.5
91%
48%
+1.5
52%
33%
+2.5
22%
5%
+3.5
4%
5%
+4.5
0%
48%
BTTS
78%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
Club Tijuana averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Cruz Azul averages 1.7 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Club Tijuana(A)
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Draw
Sep 2025
Club Tijuana
2 - 0
Cruz Azul
Home
Feb 2025
Club Tijuana
2 - 3
Cruz Azul
Away
Dec 2024
Club Tijuana(A)
0 - 3
Cruz Azul
Away
Nov 2024
Club Tijuana
3 - 0
Cruz Azul
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Club Tijuana won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Club Tijuana — unbeaten run (home)4
Club Tijuana — scoring streak (home)7
Cruz Azul — winless run (away)0
Cruz Azul — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Club Tijuana Win (1)44%
Draw (X)26%
Cruz Azul Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
86%
+0.5
91%
48%
+1.5
52%
33%
+2.5
22%
5%
+3.5
4%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
14%
-0.5
9%
52%
-1.5
48%
67%
-2.5
78%
95%
-3.5
96%
95%
-4.5
100%
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Club Tijuana — scored (home)1.76
Club Tijuana — conceded (home)0.67
Cruz Azul — scored (away)1.7
Cruz Azul — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.67
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Club Tijuana — BTTS matches (home)48%
Cruz Azul — BTTS matches (away)78%
Combined (simple average)63%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Club Tijuana (home)
Corners for3.6
Corners against4.2
Cruz Azul (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Club Tijuana
5
9
10
5
13
Cruz Azul
15
8
14
8
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Club Tijuana (home)
For2.4
Cruz Azul (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.74
Club Tijuana
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.19
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58
Cruz Azul
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.55
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.45
Shots per Game
Club Tijuana — total shots (home)12.7
Cruz Azul — total shots (away)15.0
Shots on Target
Club Tijuana — on target (home)4.7
Cruz Azul — on target (away)5.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Club Tijuana
Inside the box6.78
Outside the box4.95
Cruz Azul
Inside the box9.07
Outside the box7.89
Player Shots Club Tijuana
A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Mora
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Castañeda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Vega
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
F. Boya
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Cruz Azul
A. Morales
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
Á. Sepúlveda
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Ibáñez
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Paradela
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Palavecino
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Tijuana xG (home)1.22
Cruz Azul xG (away)1.51
Average Possession
46.65%
Possession
54.55%
Team Comparison Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
81.49%
Pass accuracy
83.8%
373.22
Passes per match
417.43
-0.21
Goals prevented
-0.46
12.92
Fouls committed
12.3
3.38
Goalkeeper saves
2.18
1.91
Offsides
2.29
17.92
Tackles per match
16.83
League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul prediction analysis
Review Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights