Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-10 19:00
Cobresal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Coquimbo Unido
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
28%
2
42%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cobresal (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate67%

Coquimbo Unido (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match0.53
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cobresal
LWLLW
Coquimbo Unido
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 47%
27% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cobresal averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Coquimbo Unido averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
28%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Cobresal 1 - 2 Coquimbo Unido Away
Mar 2025 Cobresal(A) 1 - 1 Coquimbo Unido Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Cobresal won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cobresal — unbeaten run (home)1
Cobresal — scoring streak (home)9
Coquimbo Unido — winless run (away)1
Coquimbo Unido — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cobresal Win (1)30%
Draw (X)28%
Coquimbo Unido Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 47%
27% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 20%
53% -1.5 53%
73% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cobresal — scored (home)1.6
Cobresal — conceded (home)0.93
Coquimbo Unido — scored (away)1.53
Coquimbo Unido — conceded (away)0.53
Model expected combined goals2.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Cobresal — BTTS matches (home)67%
Coquimbo Unido — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.577%
Under 9.523%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cobresal (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.8

Coquimbo Unido (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cobresal
8 14 12 12 8
Coquimbo Unido
7 12 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Cobresal (home)

For2.7

Coquimbo Unido (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Cobresal — total shots (home)16.7
Coquimbo Unido — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Cobresal — on target (home)6.5
Coquimbo Unido — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cobresal

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box7.87

Coquimbo Unido

Inside the box7.67
Outside the box3.87

Player Shots Cobresal

J. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Coelho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target36%
C. Munder
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Gaete
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Ramirez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Coquimbo Unido

C. Waterman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Palavecino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Johansen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Donadell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Zavala
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cobresal xG (home)1.59
Coquimbo Unido xG (away)1.95

Average Possession

45.7% Possession 41.5%

Team Comparison Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido

78.9% Pass accuracy 72.57%
360.23 Passes per match 297.17
0 Goals prevented 0
10.8 Fouls committed 11.4
3.93 Goalkeeper saves 2.17
2.24 Offsides 2.29
14.8 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido prediction analysis

Review Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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