Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cobresal vs D. La Serena

Cobresal vs D. La Serena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-02-23 21:00
Cobresal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
D. La Serena
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
21%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cobresal (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate67%

D. La Serena (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate80%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cobresal
LWLLW
D. La Serena
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 13%
27% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 80%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cobresal averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while D. La Serena averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jul 2026 Cobresal 0 - 1 D. La Serena Away
Jul 2025 Cobresal(A) 2 - 0 D. La Serena Home
Feb 2025 Cobresal 3 - 1 D. La Serena Home

In the last 3 meetings, Cobresal won 2, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cobresal — unbeaten run (home)1
Cobresal — scoring streak (home)9
D. La Serena — winless run (away)2
D. La Serena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cobresal Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
D. La Serena Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 13%
27% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 20%
53% -1.5 87%
73% -2.5 93%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Cobresal vs D. La Serena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cobresal — scored (home)1.6
Cobresal — conceded (home)0.93
D. La Serena — scored (away)1
D. La Serena — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Cobresal — BTTS matches (home)67%
D. La Serena — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.574%
Under 9.526%
Over 10.570%
Under 10.530%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cobresal (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.8

D. La Serena (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cobresal
8 14 12 12 8
D. La Serena
3 13 11 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Cobresal (home)

For2.7

D. La Serena (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Cobresal — total shots (home)16.7
D. La Serena — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Cobresal — on target (home)6.5
D. La Serena — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cobresal

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box7.87

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83

Player Shots Cobresal

J. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Coelho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target36%
C. Munder
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Gaete
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Ramirez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cobresal xG (home)1.59
D. La Serena xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

45.7% Possession 45.97%

Team Comparison Cobresal vs D. La Serena

78.9% Pass accuracy 76.53%
360.23 Passes per match 341.27
0 Goals prevented 0
10.8 Fouls committed 11.8
3.93 Goalkeeper saves 3.07
2.24 Offsides 1.55
14.8 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cobresal vs D. La Serena prediction analysis

Review Cobresal vs D. La Serena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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