Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cobresal vs Union Espanola

Cobresal vs Union Espanola prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-10-26 19:00
Cobresal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union Espanola
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
23%
2
19%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cobresal (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate67%

Union Espanola (Away)

Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cobresal
LWLLW
Union Espanola
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 40%
47% +1.5 20%
27% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cobresal averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Union Espanola averages 0.73 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
23%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Cobresal 1 - 0 Union Espanola Home
May 2025 Cobresal(A) 1 - 0 Union Espanola Home

In the last 2 meetings, Cobresal won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Cobresal — unbeaten run (home)1
Cobresal — scoring streak (home)9
Union Espanola — winless run (away)4
Union Espanola — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cobresal Win (1)58%
Draw (X)23%
Union Espanola Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 40%
47% +1.5 20%
27% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 60%
53% -1.5 80%
73% -2.5 93%
100% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Cobresal vs Union Espanola — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cobresal — scored (home)1.6
Cobresal — conceded (home)0.93
Union Espanola — scored (away)0.73
Union Espanola — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Cobresal — BTTS matches (home)67%
Union Espanola — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cobresal (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against6.8

Union Espanola (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cobresal
8 14 12 12 8
Union Espanola
7 8 11 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Cobresal (home)

For2.7

Union Espanola (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Cobresal — total shots (home)16.7
Union Espanola — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Cobresal — on target (home)6.5
Union Espanola — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cobresal

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box7.87

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13

Player Shots Cobresal

J. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Coelho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target36%
C. Munder
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Gaete
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Ramirez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cobresal xG (home)1.59
Union Espanola xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

45.7% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison Cobresal vs Union Espanola

78.9% Pass accuracy 78.9%
360.23 Passes per match 401.97
0 Goals prevented 0
10.8 Fouls committed 10.67
3.93 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
2.24 Offsides 2.14
14.8 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cobresal vs Union Espanola prediction analysis

Review Cobresal vs Union Espanola with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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