Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Colo Colo vs D. La Serena

Colo Colo vs D. La Serena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-07-19 19:00
Colo Colo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
D. La Serena
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
20%
2
15%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Colo Colo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate60%

D. La Serena (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate80%

Team Form last 5 matches

Colo Colo
LLWWW
D. La Serena
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 80%
67% +1.5 13%
27% +2.5 7%
27% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 80%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Colo Colo averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while D. La Serena averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
20%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Colo Colo 2 - 1 D. La Serena Home
Feb 2025 Colo Colo(A) 3 - 1 D. La Serena Home

In the last 2 meetings, Colo Colo won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Colo Colo — unbeaten run (home)0
Colo Colo — scoring streak (home)14
D. La Serena — winless run (away)2
D. La Serena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Colo Colo Win (1)65%
Draw (X)20%
D. La Serena Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 80%
67% +1.5 13%
27% +2.5 7%
27% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 20%
33% -1.5 87%
73% -2.5 93%
73% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Colo Colo vs D. La Serena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Colo Colo — scored (home)2.13
Colo Colo — conceded (home)1.13
D. La Serena — scored (away)1
D. La Serena — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals3.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Colo Colo — BTTS matches (home)60%
D. La Serena — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)70%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.554%
Under 10.546%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Colo Colo (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.3

D. La Serena (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Colo Colo
5 8 6 12 16
D. La Serena
3 13 11 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Colo Colo (home)

For2.9

D. La Serena (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Colo Colo — total shots (home)20.3
D. La Serena — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Colo Colo — on target (home)7.2
D. La Serena — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Colo Colo

Inside the box10.07
Outside the box6.17

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83

Player Shots Colo Colo

J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target48%
L. Cepeda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target27%
A. Oroz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Rodriguez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Pizarro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Colo Colo xG (home)1.6
D. La Serena xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

62% Possession 45.97%

Team Comparison Colo Colo vs D. La Serena

83.97% Pass accuracy 76.53%
505.3 Passes per match 341.27
0 Goals prevented 0
10.5 Fouls committed 11.8
2.6 Goalkeeper saves 3.07
1.57 Offsides 1.55
14.8 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Colo Colo vs D. La Serena prediction analysis

Review Colo Colo vs D. La Serena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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