Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Colo Colo vs U. Catolica

Colo Colo vs U. Catolica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-16 19:00
Colo Colo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
U. Catolica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
20%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Colo Colo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate60%

U. Catolica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Colo Colo
LLWWW
U. Catolica
WDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 73%
67% +1.5 27%
27% +2.5 13%
27% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Colo Colo averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while U. Catolica averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Colo Colo 1 - 4 U. Catolica Away
Jul 2025 Colo Colo(A) 0 - 2 U. Catolica Away

In the last 2 meetings, Colo Colo won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Colo Colo — unbeaten run (home)0
Colo Colo — scoring streak (home)14
U. Catolica — winless run (away)1
U. Catolica — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Colo Colo Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
U. Catolica Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 73%
67% +1.5 27%
27% +2.5 13%
27% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 27%
33% -1.5 73%
73% -2.5 87%
73% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Colo Colo vs U. Catolica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Colo Colo — scored (home)2.13
Colo Colo — conceded (home)1.13
U. Catolica — scored (away)1.2
U. Catolica — conceded (away)0.87
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Colo Colo — BTTS matches (home)60%
U. Catolica — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Colo Colo (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.3

U. Catolica (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Colo Colo
5 8 6 12 16
U. Catolica
10 13 14 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Colo Colo (home)

For2.9

U. Catolica (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Colo Colo — total shots (home)20.3
U. Catolica — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Colo Colo — on target (home)7.2
U. Catolica — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Colo Colo

Inside the box10.07
Outside the box6.17

U. Catolica

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27

Player Shots Colo Colo

J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target48%
L. Cepeda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target27%
A. Oroz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Rodriguez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Pizarro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots U. Catolica

F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Colo Colo xG (home)1.6
U. Catolica xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

62% Possession 54.2%

Team Comparison Colo Colo vs U. Catolica

83.97% Pass accuracy 80.53%
505.3 Passes per match 398.13
0 Goals prevented 0
10.5 Fouls committed 13.4
2.6 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.57 Offsides 1.53
14.8 Tackles per match 14.33

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Colo Colo vs U. Catolica prediction analysis

Review Colo Colo vs U. Catolica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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