Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Colo Colo vs Union La Calera

Colo Colo vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-11-23 23:30
Colo Colo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union La Calera
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
24%
2
19%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Colo Colo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate60%

Union La Calera (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Colo Colo
LLWWW
Union La Calera
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 53%
67% +1.5 7%
27% +2.5 7%
27% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Colo Colo averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
24%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Colo Colo 4 - 1 Union La Calera Home
Jun 2025 Colo Colo(A) 1 - 0 Union La Calera Home

In the last 2 meetings, Colo Colo won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Colo Colo — unbeaten run (home)0
Colo Colo — scoring streak (home)14
Union La Calera — winless run (away)8
Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Colo Colo Win (1)57%
Draw (X)24%
Union La Calera Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 53%
67% +1.5 7%
27% +2.5 7%
27% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 47%
33% -1.5 93%
73% -2.5 93%
73% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Colo Colo vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Colo Colo — scored (home)2.13
Colo Colo — conceded (home)1.13
Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67
Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Colo Colo — BTTS matches (home)60%
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Colo Colo (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.3

Union La Calera (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Colo Colo
5 8 6 12 16
Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Colo Colo (home)

For2.9

Union La Calera (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Colo Colo — total shots (home)20.3
Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Colo Colo — on target (home)7.2
Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Colo Colo

Inside the box10.07
Outside the box6.17

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

Player Shots Colo Colo

J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target48%
L. Cepeda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target27%
A. Oroz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Rodriguez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Pizarro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Colo Colo xG (home)1.6
Union La Calera xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

62% Possession 49.03%

Team Comparison Colo Colo vs Union La Calera

83.97% Pass accuracy 76.73%
505.3 Passes per match 383.4
0 Goals prevented 0
10.5 Fouls committed 11.5
2.6 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.57 Offsides 1.74
14.8 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Colo Colo vs Union La Calera prediction analysis

Review Colo Colo vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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