Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Colombia vs Portugal

Colombia vs Portugal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
World Cup 2026-06-27 23:30
Colombia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
1%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Portugal
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
65%
2
10%
+2.5 Goals
1%
BTTS
4%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Colombia (Home)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Portugal (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Colombia
DWDWW
Portugal
LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 1%. Model confidence is High.

Colombia averages 0.67 goals scored at home, while Portugal averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
99%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
65%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
1%
BTTS Yes
4%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jun 2026 Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Colombia won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Colombia — unbeaten run (home)3
Colombia — scoring streak (home)1
Portugal — winless run (away)1
Portugal — clean sheets (away, last 1)1 of 1

1X2 Probability model

Colombia Win (1)25%
Draw (X)65%
Portugal Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 100%
100% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Colombia vs Portugal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Colombia — scored (home)0.67
Colombia — conceded (home)0
Portugal — scored (away)0
Portugal — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals0.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes4%
No96%

Rate per Team

Colombia — BTTS matches (home)0%
Portugal — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)0%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.517%
Under 7.583%
Over 8.517%
Under 8.583%
Over 9.50%
Under 9.5100%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Colombia (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against2.7

Portugal (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Colombia
7 9 7 5 5
Portugal
9 5 7 14 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.534%
Under 1.566%
Over 2.534%
Under 2.566%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2

Yellow Cards per Team

Colombia (home)

For1.7

Portugal (away)

For0.0

Shots per Game

Colombia — total shots (home)21.3
Portugal — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Colombia — on target (home)7.7
Portugal — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Colombia

Inside the box10.2
Outside the box6.6

Portugal

Inside the box8
Outside the box5

Player Shots Colombia

L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
G. Puerta
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Arias
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
D. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Portugal

Cristiano Ronaldo
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
Bruno Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
João Félix
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Rafael Leão
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Nuno Mendes
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Colombia xG (home)1.33
Portugal xG (away)1.53

Average Possession

58.4% Possession 58%

Team Comparison Colombia vs Portugal

87.38% Pass accuracy 91%
489.4 Passes per match 607.25
0.68 Goals prevented -0.43
11 Fouls committed 8.8
1.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.8
3.2 Offsides 2
11.2 Tackles per match 13.4

League average xG this season is 1.27 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Colombia vs Portugal prediction analysis

Review Colombia vs Portugal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top