Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-25 23:15
Columbus Crew
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Cincinnati
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
25%
2
31%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Columbus Crew (Home)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate74%

FC Cincinnati (Away)

Goals scored / match1.39
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Columbus Crew
LLWLW
FC Cincinnati
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 78%
53% +1.5 39%
26% +2.5 22%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Columbus Crew averages 1.79 goals scored at home, while FC Cincinnati averages 1.39 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
25%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Columbus Crew(A) 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati Away
Nov 2025 Columbus Crew 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati Home
Oct 2025 Columbus Crew(A) 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati Away
Jul 2025 Columbus Crew(A) 4 - 2 FC Cincinnati Home
May 2025 Columbus Crew 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Columbus Crew won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Columbus Crew — unbeaten run (home)0
Columbus Crew — scoring streak (home)14
FC Cincinnati — winless run (away)1
FC Cincinnati — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Columbus Crew Win (1)45%
Draw (X)25%
FC Cincinnati Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 78%
53% +1.5 39%
26% +2.5 22%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 22%
47% -1.5 61%
74% -2.5 78%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Columbus Crew — scored (home)1.79
Columbus Crew — conceded (home)1.16
FC Cincinnati — scored (away)1.39
FC Cincinnati — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Columbus Crew — BTTS matches (home)74%
FC Cincinnati — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Columbus Crew (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against2.7

FC Cincinnati (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Columbus Crew
5 6 11 13 3
FC Cincinnati
6 11 13 6 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Columbus Crew (home)

For1.1

FC Cincinnati (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.55

Columbus Crew

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.77
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.559%
On Target Over 5.543%
Expected on target5.28

FC Cincinnati

Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.78
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.13

Shots per Game

Columbus Crew — total shots (home)15.7
FC Cincinnati — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Columbus Crew — on target (home)5.7
FC Cincinnati — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Columbus Crew

Inside the box9.05
Outside the box4.08

FC Cincinnati

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box5.68

Player Shots Columbus Crew

L. Lappalainen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Rossi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target47%
D. Gazdag
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Russell-Rowe
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Picard
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots FC Cincinnati

Evander
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target49%
Brenner
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
G. Valenzuela
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Denkey
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target38%
Y. Kubo
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target24%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Columbus Crew xG (home)1.58
FC Cincinnati xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

58.89% Possession 48.29%

Team Comparison Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati

87.54% Pass accuracy 83.53%
571.14 Passes per match 449.63
0.03 Goals prevented 0.19
10.11 Fouls committed 10.21
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.11
2.49 Offsides 1.68
14.74 Tackles per match 15.33

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati prediction analysis

Review Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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