Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Como vs Empoli

Como vs Empoli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-29 14:00
Como
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Empoli
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
24%
2
32%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Como (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Empoli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Como
LDWWW
Empoli
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 26%
16% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Como averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Empoli averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
24%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Como 1 - 1 Empoli Draw
Nov 2024 Como(A) 0 - 1 Empoli Away

In the last 2 meetings, Como won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Como — unbeaten run (home)0
Como — scoring streak (home)0
Empoli — winless run (away)0
Empoli — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Como Win (1)44%
Draw (X)24%
Empoli Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 26%
16% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 74%
84% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Como vs Empoli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Como — scored (home)1.47
Como — conceded (home)1.37
Empoli — scored (away)1.21
Empoli — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals3.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Como — BTTS matches (home)68%
Empoli — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Como (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against3.5

Empoli (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Como
9 10 6 10 5
Empoli
7 9 4 8 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Como (home)

For2.1

Empoli (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Como — total shots (home)14.7
Empoli — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Como — on target (home)5.2
Empoli — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Como

Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03

Empoli

Inside the box5.53
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Empoli

C. Kouamé
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Colombo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Pellegri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Cacace
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Como xG (home)1.18
Empoli xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

54.79% Possession 41.29%

Team Comparison Como vs Empoli

84.45% Pass accuracy 73.97%
464.71 Passes per match 324.47
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.1
13.24 Fouls committed 14.95
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.78
1.81 Offsides 1.63
17.45 Tackles per match 18.13

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Como vs Empoli prediction analysis

Review Como vs Empoli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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