What markets are included in the Como vs Genoa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Como vs Genoa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Como vs Genoa

Como vs Genoa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-27 10:30

Como

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Genoa

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

27%

29%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Como (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate68%

Genoa (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Como

LDWWW

Genoa

WLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Como averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Genoa averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

27%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Como(A) 2 - 0 Genoa Home

Sep 2025 Como 1 - 1 Genoa Draw

Apr 2025 Como 1 - 0 Genoa Home

Nov 2024 Como(A) 1 - 1 Genoa Draw

Apr 2023 Como 2 - 2 Genoa Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Como won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Como — unbeaten run (home)0

Como — scoring streak (home)0

Genoa — winless run (away)0

Genoa — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Como Win (1)44%

Draw (X)27%

Genoa Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 42%

63% -1.5 79%

84% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Como vs Genoa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Como — scored (home)1.47

Como — conceded (home)1.37

Genoa — scored (away)0.84

Genoa — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Como — BTTS matches (home)68%

Genoa — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Como (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against3.5

Genoa (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Como

9 10 6 10 5

Genoa

9 15 8 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Como (home)

For2.1

Genoa (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Como — total shots (home)14.7

Genoa — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Como — on target (home)5.2

Genoa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Como

Inside the box8.68

Outside the box5.03

Genoa

Inside the box6.74

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target15%

N. Paz

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target20%

Assane Diao

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target27%

P. Cutrone

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Dossena

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. De Winter

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target12%

F. Miretti

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Ekuban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Venturino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Como xG (home)1.18

Genoa xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

54.79% Possession 45.61%

Team Comparison Como vs Genoa

84.45% Pass accuracy 78.32%

464.71 Passes per match 372.39

-0.05 Goals prevented 0.1

13.24 Fouls committed 13.08

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.14

1.81 Offsides 1.53

17.45 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Como vs Genoa prediction analysis

Review Como vs Genoa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights