Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Como vs Inter

Como vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-23 18:45
Como
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Inter
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
24%
2
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Como (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Como
LDWWW
Inter
WDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 84%
37% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 32%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 11%
68% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Como averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
24%
Away Win
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Como(A) 2 - 3 Inter Away
Apr 2026 Como 3 - 4 Inter Away
Mar 2026 Como 0 - 0 Inter Draw
Dec 2025 Como(A) 0 - 4 Inter Away
May 2025 Como 0 - 2 Inter Away

In the last 5 meetings, Como won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Como — unbeaten run (home)0
Como — scoring streak (home)0
Inter — winless run (away)0
Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Como Win (1)26%
Draw (X)24%
Inter Win (2)50%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 84%
37% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 32%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 16%
63% -1.5 42%
84% -2.5 68%
95% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 89%

Como vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Como — scored (home)1.47
Como — conceded (home)1.37
Inter — scored (away)2.05
Inter — conceded (away)0.74
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Como — BTTS matches (home)68%
Inter — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.568%
Under 6.532%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Como (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against3.5

Inter (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Como
9 10 6 10 5
Inter
7 7 12 6 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Como (home)

For2.1

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Como — total shots (home)14.7
Inter — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Como — on target (home)5.2
Inter — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Como

Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03

Inter

Inside the box10.7
Outside the box4.51

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Inter

M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arnautović
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Dumfries
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Como xG (home)1.18
Inter xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

54.79% Possession 59.38%

Team Comparison Como vs Inter

84.45% Pass accuracy 87.65%
464.71 Passes per match 549.54
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.13
13.24 Fouls committed 11
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.54
1.81 Offsides 2.42
17.45 Tackles per match 13.26

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Como vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Como vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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