Prediction Analysis: Como vs Parma
Como vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Como
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1

Parma
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
26%
2
32%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Como (Home)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%
Parma (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Como
LDWWW
Parma
WDLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
89%
+0.5
63%
37%
+1.5
32%
16%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
68%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.
Como averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Como
1 - 0
Parma
Home
Oct 2025
Como(A)
0 - 0
Parma
Draw
May 2025
Como(A)
1 - 0
Parma
Home
Oct 2024
Como
1 - 1
Parma
Draw
Feb 2024
Como
1 - 1
Parma
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Como won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Como — unbeaten run (home)0
Como — scoring streak (home)0
Parma — winless run (away)0
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Como Win (1)42%
Draw (X)26%
Parma Win (2)32%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
89%
+0.5
63%
37%
+1.5
32%
16%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
11%
-0.5
37%
63%
-1.5
68%
84%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Como vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Como — scored (home)1.47
Como — conceded (home)1.37
Parma — scored (away)1
Parma — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.59
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Como — BTTS matches (home)68%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)65.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Como (home)
Corners for5.0
Corners against3.5
Parma (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against6.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Como
9
10
6
10
5
Parma
6
10
4
5
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Como (home)
For2.1
Parma (away)
For2.0
Shots per Game
Como — total shots (home)14.7
Parma — total shots (away)10.7
Shots on Target
Como — on target (home)5.2
Parma — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Como
Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03
Parma
Inside the box6.61
Outside the box4.58
Player Shots Como
J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Parma
M. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
S. Sohm
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Como xG (home)1.18
Parma xG (away)1.18
Average Possession
54.79%
Possession
44.13%
Team Comparison Como vs Parma
84.45%
Pass accuracy
79.68%
464.71
Passes per match
383
-0.05
Goals prevented
-0.14
13.24
Fouls committed
10.66
2.47
Goalkeeper saves
2.74
1.81
Offsides
0.82
17.45
Tackles per match
13.76
League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Como vs Parma prediction analysis
Review Como vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights