Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Como vs Parma

Como vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-10-19 13:00
Como
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Parma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
26%
2
32%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Como (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Como
LDWWW
Parma
WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Como averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Como 1 - 0 Parma Home
Oct 2025 Como(A) 0 - 0 Parma Draw
May 2025 Como(A) 1 - 0 Parma Home
Oct 2024 Como 1 - 1 Parma Draw
Feb 2024 Como 1 - 1 Parma Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Como won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Como — unbeaten run (home)0
Como — scoring streak (home)0
Parma — winless run (away)0
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Como Win (1)42%
Draw (X)26%
Parma Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 68%
84% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Como vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Como — scored (home)1.47
Como — conceded (home)1.37
Parma — scored (away)1
Parma — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Como — BTTS matches (home)68%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Como (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against3.5

Parma (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Como
9 10 6 10 5
Parma
6 10 4 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Como (home)

For2.1

Parma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Como — total shots (home)14.7
Parma — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Como — on target (home)5.2
Parma — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Como

Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03

Parma

Inside the box6.61
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
S. Sohm
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Como xG (home)1.18
Parma xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

54.79% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Como vs Parma

84.45% Pass accuracy 79.68%
464.71 Passes per match 383
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.14
13.24 Fouls committed 10.66
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.81 Offsides 0.82
17.45 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Como vs Parma prediction analysis

Review Como vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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