What markets are included in the Como vs Sassuolo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Como vs Sassuolo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Como vs Sassuolo

Como vs Sassuolo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-11-28 19:45

Como

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sassuolo

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

28%

30%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Como (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate47%

Sassuolo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Como

WWWDW

Sassuolo

LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%

47% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Como averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Sassuolo averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

28%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 3

Apr 2026 Como(A) 1 - 2 Sassuolo Away

Nov 2025 Como 2 - 0 Sassuolo Home

Sep 2025 Como 3 - 0 Sassuolo Home

In the last 3 meetings, Como won 2, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Como — unbeaten run (home)2

Como — scoring streak (home)1

Sassuolo — winless run (away)6

Sassuolo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Como Win (1)42%

Draw (X)28%

Sassuolo Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%

47% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%

53% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 100%

89% -4.5 100%

Como vs Sassuolo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Como — scored (home)1.84

Como — conceded (home)0.79

Sassuolo — scored (away)1.11

Sassuolo — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Como — BTTS matches (home)47%

Sassuolo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.576%

Under 5.524%

Over 6.563%

Under 6.537%

Over 7.553%

Under 7.547%

Over 8.535%

Under 8.565%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)7.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Como (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against2.1

Sassuolo (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Como

5 5 14 17 6

Sassuolo

11 5 12 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Como (home)

For1.9

Sassuolo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Como — total shots (home)16.7

Sassuolo — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Como — on target (home)6.3

Sassuolo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Como

Inside the box9.53

Outside the box4.92

Sassuolo

Inside the box7

Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Como

N. Paz

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

Assane Diao

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. Addai

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

L. da Cunha

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Sassuolo

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Berardi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Laurienté

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target16%

K. Thorstvedt

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target3%

C. Volpato

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Como xG (home)1.63

Sassuolo xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

61.61% Possession 46.13%

Team Comparison Como vs Sassuolo

87.05% Pass accuracy 82.16%

527.13 Passes per match 401.45

0.09 Goals prevented 0.01

13.29 Fouls committed 11.97

2.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

1.23 Offsides 1.89

16.42 Tackles per match 13.66

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Como vs Sassuolo prediction analysis

Review Como vs Sassuolo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights