Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Como vs Venezia

Como vs Venezia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-08 14:00
Como
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Venezia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
24%
2
26%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Como (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Venezia (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Como
LDWWW
Venezia
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 21%
16% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Como averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Venezia averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Como 1 - 1 Venezia Draw
Dec 2024 Como(A) 2 - 2 Venezia Draw
Mar 2024 Como 2 - 1 Venezia Home
Aug 2023 Como(A) 0 - 3 Venezia Away
Apr 2023 Como(A) 2 - 3 Venezia Away

In the last 5 meetings, Como won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Como — unbeaten run (home)0
Como — scoring streak (home)0
Venezia — winless run (away)19
Venezia — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Como Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Venezia Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 21%
16% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 79%
84% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Como vs Venezia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Como — scored (home)1.47
Como — conceded (home)1.37
Venezia — scored (away)0.79
Venezia — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Como — BTTS matches (home)68%
Venezia — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Como (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against3.5

Venezia (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Como
9 10 6 10 5
Venezia
9 6 6 16 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Como (home)

For2.1

Venezia (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Como — total shots (home)14.7
Venezia — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Como — on target (home)5.2
Venezia — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Como

Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Como xG (home)1.18
Venezia xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

54.79% Possession 44.84%

Team Comparison Como vs Venezia

84.45% Pass accuracy 77.79%
464.71 Passes per match 359.11
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.04
13.24 Fouls committed 13.24
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.7
1.81 Offsides 1.57
17.45 Tackles per match 15.95

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Como vs Venezia prediction analysis

Review Como vs Venezia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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