Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera

Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera División 2025-11-02 20:30
Coquimbo Unido
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union La Calera
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
28%
2
16%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Coquimbo Unido (Home)

Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.6
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%

Union La Calera (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Coquimbo Unido
WDWWW
Union La Calera
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 53%
60% +1.5 7%
13% +2.5 7%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Coquimbo Unido averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
28%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jul 2026 Coquimbo Unido 0 - 1 Union La Calera Away
Jul 2026 Coquimbo Unido(A) 1 - 0 Union La Calera Home
Nov 2025 Coquimbo Unido 2 - 0 Union La Calera Home
May 2025 Coquimbo Unido(A) 1 - 0 Union La Calera Home

In the last 4 meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Coquimbo Unido — unbeaten run (home)15
Coquimbo Unido — scoring streak (home)9
Union La Calera — winless run (away)8
Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Coquimbo Unido Win (1)56%
Draw (X)28%
Union La Calera Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 53%
60% +1.5 7%
13% +2.5 7%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 47%
40% -1.5 93%
87% -2.5 93%
87% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Coquimbo Unido — scored (home)1.73
Coquimbo Unido — conceded (home)0.6
Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67
Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals1.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Coquimbo Unido — BTTS matches (home)53%
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Coquimbo Unido (home)

Corners for6.9
Corners against2.8

Union La Calera (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Coquimbo Unido
7 12 11 12 11
Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Coquimbo Unido (home)

For2.7

Union La Calera (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Coquimbo Unido — total shots (home)11.8
Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Coquimbo Unido — on target (home)4.1
Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Coquimbo Unido

Inside the box7.67
Outside the box3.87

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

Player Shots Coquimbo Unido

C. Waterman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Palavecino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Johansen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Donadell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Zavala
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Coquimbo Unido xG (home)1.95
Union La Calera xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

41.5% Possession 49.03%

Team Comparison Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera

72.57% Pass accuracy 76.73%
297.17 Passes per match 383.4
0 Goals prevented 0
11.4 Fouls committed 11.5
2.17 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
2.29 Offsides 1.74
16.07 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera prediction analysis

Review Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top