Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-06-15 19:00
Coquimbo Unido
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Universidad de Chile
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
28%
2
18%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Coquimbo Unido (Home)

Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.6
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%

Universidad de Chile (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Coquimbo Unido
WDWWW
Universidad de Chile
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 60%
60% +1.5 33%
13% +2.5 20%
13% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Coquimbo Unido averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Universidad de Chile averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
28%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 2

Dec 2025 Coquimbo Unido(A) 1 - 1 Universidad de Chile Draw
Jun 2025 Coquimbo Unido 1 - 0 Universidad de Chile Home

In the last 2 meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Coquimbo Unido — unbeaten run (home)15
Coquimbo Unido — scoring streak (home)9
Universidad de Chile — winless run (away)0
Universidad de Chile — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Coquimbo Unido Win (1)55%
Draw (X)28%
Universidad de Chile Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 60%
60% +1.5 33%
13% +2.5 20%
13% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 40%
40% -1.5 67%
87% -2.5 80%
87% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Coquimbo Unido — scored (home)1.73
Coquimbo Unido — conceded (home)0.6
Universidad de Chile — scored (away)1.2
Universidad de Chile — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

Coquimbo Unido — BTTS matches (home)53%
Universidad de Chile — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Coquimbo Unido (home)

Corners for6.9
Corners against2.8

Universidad de Chile (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Coquimbo Unido
7 12 11 12 11
Universidad de Chile
7 12 13 12 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Coquimbo Unido (home)

For2.7

Universidad de Chile (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Coquimbo Unido — total shots (home)11.8
Universidad de Chile — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Coquimbo Unido — on target (home)4.1
Universidad de Chile — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Coquimbo Unido

Inside the box7.67
Outside the box3.87

Universidad de Chile

Inside the box10.23
Outside the box6

Player Shots Coquimbo Unido

C. Waterman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Palavecino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Johansen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Donadell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Zavala
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Universidad de Chile

L. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Di Yorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
N. Guerra
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
R. Contreras
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Assadi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Coquimbo Unido xG (home)1.95
Universidad de Chile xG (away)2.54

Average Possession

41.5% Possession 58%

Team Comparison Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile

72.57% Pass accuracy 80.47%
297.17 Passes per match 432.17
0 Goals prevented 0
11.4 Fouls committed 11.13
2.17 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
2.29 Offsides 1.37
16.07 Tackles per match 17.2

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile prediction analysis

Review Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Chile with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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