What markets are included in the Corinthians vs Atletico-MG prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Corinthians vs Atletico-MG prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Atletico-MG

Corinthians vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-18 21:30

Corinthians

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Atletico-MG

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

27%

22%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Atletico-MG (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians

DLDLW

Atletico-MG

WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 42%

37% +1.5 16%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Corinthians 1 - 0 Atletico-MG Home

May 2025 Corinthians(A) 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw

Jul 2024 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 Atletico-MG Away

Apr 2024 Corinthians 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw

Nov 2023 Corinthians 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3

Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3

Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2

Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)51%

Draw (X)27%

Atletico-MG Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 42%

37% +1.5 16%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 58%

63% -1.5 84%

79% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42

Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95

Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68

Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%

Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.4

Atletico-MG (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians

9 12 12 7 11

Atletico-MG

10 6 11 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

Atletico-MG (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7

Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2

Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.13

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box6.76

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Depay

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target26%

Igor Coronado

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Gustavo Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vitinho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target29%

Hulk

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Cuello

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

João Marcelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Guilherme Arana

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31

Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 54.16%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs Atletico-MG

84.82% Pass accuracy 83.87%

467.61 Passes per match 451.13

0.03 Goals prevented 0.03

13.95 Fouls committed 13.24

2.43 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

1.79 Offsides 1.83

15.97 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights