What markets are included in the Corinthians vs Ceara prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Corinthians vs Ceara prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Ceara

Corinthians vs Ceara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-11-09 19:00

Corinthians

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

35%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Ceara

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

29%

25%

Under 2.5

65%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Ceara (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians

DLDLW

Ceara

LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Ceara averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

35%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Corinthians 0 - 1 Ceara Away

Jul 2025 Corinthians(A) 1 - 0 Ceara Home

Nov 2022 Corinthians 1 - 0 Ceara Home

Jul 2022 Corinthians(A) 1 - 3 Ceara Away

Nov 2021 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 Ceara Away

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3

Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3

Ceara — winless run (away)2

Ceara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)46%

Draw (X)29%

Ceara Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 47%

63% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs Ceara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42

Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95

Ceara — scored (away)0.74

Ceara — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%

Ceara — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.4

Ceara (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians

9 12 12 7 11

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

Ceara (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7

Ceara — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2

Ceara — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.13

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Depay

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target26%

Igor Coronado

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Gustavo Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vitinho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31

Ceara xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 42.03%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs Ceara

84.82% Pass accuracy 79.03%

467.61 Passes per match 330.84

0.03 Goals prevented 0.17

13.95 Fouls committed 13.61

2.43 Goalkeeper saves 2.97

1.79 Offsides 2.42

15.97 Tackles per match 15.84

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs Ceara prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs Ceara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights