What markets are included in the Corinthians vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Corinthians vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Cruzeiro

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-23 22:30

Corinthians

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

28%

36%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians

DLDLW

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

28%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Corinthians 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Away

Dec 2025 Corinthians(A) 1 - 0 Cruzeiro Home

Nov 2025 Corinthians(A) 0 - 3 Cruzeiro Away

Jul 2025 Corinthians 0 - 0 Cruzeiro Draw

Nov 2024 Corinthians 2 - 1 Cruzeiro Home

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3

Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)36%

Draw (X)28%

Cruzeiro Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 42%

63% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42

Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.564%

Under 9.536%

Over 10.555%

Under 10.545%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.4

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians

9 12 12 7 11

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.13

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Depay

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target26%

Igor Coronado

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Gustavo Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vitinho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs Cruzeiro

84.82% Pass accuracy 81.05%

467.61 Passes per match 363.13

0.03 Goals prevented 0.12

13.95 Fouls committed 13.66

2.43 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.79 Offsides 1.5

15.97 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights