What markets are included in the Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC

Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-03 19:00

Corinthians

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

61%

24%

15%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians

DLDLW

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

61%

Draw

24%

Away Win

15%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

Aug 2025 Corinthians 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw

Aug 2024 Corinthians(A) 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC Away

May 2024 Corinthians 0 - 0 Fortaleza EC Draw

Sep 2023 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3

Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)61%

Draw (X)24%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42

Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%

No62%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.4

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians

9 12 12 7 11

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.13

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Depay

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target26%

Igor Coronado

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Gustavo Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vitinho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC

84.82% Pass accuracy 79.24%

467.61 Passes per match 354.39

0.03 Goals prevented 0.01

13.95 Fouls committed 14.18

2.43 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

1.79 Offsides 2.06

15.97 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights