Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Internacional
Corinthians vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-05-03
21:30
Corinthians
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
30%
2
26%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Corinthians (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%
Internacional (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Corinthians
DLDLW
Internacional
WLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
63%
37%
+1.5
21%
21%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.
Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
68%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
30%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
Corinthians(A)
1 - 1
Internacional
Draw
May 2025
Corinthians
4 - 2
Internacional
Home
Oct 2024
Corinthians
2 - 2
Internacional
Draw
Jun 2024
Corinthians(A)
0 - 1
Internacional
Away
Dec 2023
Corinthians
1 - 2
Internacional
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3
Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Corinthians Win (1)44%
Draw (X)30%
Internacional Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
63%
37%
+1.5
21%
21%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
37%
63%
-1.5
79%
79%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Corinthians vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Corinthians — scored (home)1.42
Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2
Both Teams To Score
Yes39%
No61%
Rate per Team
Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Corinthians (home)
Corners for5.4
Corners against4.4
Internacional (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Corinthians
9
12
12
7
11
Internacional
8
5
7
13
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Corinthians (home)
For2.4
Internacional (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Corinthians — on target (home)4.2
Internacional — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Corinthians
Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.13
Internacional
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5
Player Shots Corinthians
Yuri Alberto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Depay
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
Igor Coronado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gustavo Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Internacional
J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Corinthians xG (home)1.31
Internacional xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
55.74%
Possession
51.08%
Team Comparison Corinthians vs Internacional
84.82%
Pass accuracy
82.63%
467.61
Passes per match
429.03
0.03
Goals prevented
-0.13
13.95
Fouls committed
14.89
2.43
Goalkeeper saves
2.61
1.79
Offsides
1.78
15.97
Tackles per match
18.39
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Corinthians vs Internacional prediction analysis
Review Corinthians vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights