Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Juventude

Corinthians vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-07 19:00
Corinthians
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
62%
X
22%
2
16%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians
DLDLW
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 53%
37% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
62%
Draw
22%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Corinthians 1 - 1 Juventude Draw
Aug 2025 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 Juventude Away
Sep 2024 Corinthians 3 - 1 Juventude Home
Aug 2024 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 Juventude Away
Aug 2024 Corinthians 1 - 1 Juventude Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3
Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)62%
Draw (X)22%
Juventude Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 53%
37% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 47%
63% -1.5 84%
79% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42
Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.4

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians
9 12 12 7 11
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.13

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Depay
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
Igor Coronado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gustavo Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs Juventude

84.82% Pass accuracy 80.89%
467.61 Passes per match 339
0.03 Goals prevented -0.18
13.95 Fouls committed 15.89
2.43 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.79 Offsides 1.86
15.97 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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