What markets are included in the Corinthians vs Palmeiras prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Corinthians vs Palmeiras prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Palmeiras

Corinthians vs Palmeiras prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-31 21:30

Corinthians

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Palmeiras

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

28%

41%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Palmeiras (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians

DLDLW

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 89%

37% +1.5 58%

21% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Palmeiras averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Corinthians 1 - 1 Palmeiras Draw

Aug 2025 Corinthians(A) 2 - 0 Palmeiras Home

Jul 2025 Corinthians 1 - 0 Palmeiras Home

Apr 2025 Corinthians(A) 0 - 2 Palmeiras Away

Nov 2024 Corinthians 2 - 0 Palmeiras Home

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3

Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3

Palmeiras — winless run (away)0

Palmeiras — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)32%

Draw (X)28%

Palmeiras Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 89%

37% +1.5 58%

21% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 11%

63% -1.5 42%

79% -2.5 84%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs Palmeiras — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42

Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95

Palmeiras — scored (away)1.63

Palmeiras — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.4

Palmeiras (away)

Corners for6.0

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians

9 12 12 7 11

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

Palmeiras (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7

Palmeiras — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2

Palmeiras — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.13

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Depay

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target26%

Igor Coronado

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Gustavo Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vitinho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31

Palmeiras xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 52.34%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs Palmeiras

84.82% Pass accuracy 82.21%

467.61 Passes per match 406.61

0.03 Goals prevented 0.13

13.95 Fouls committed 14.61

2.43 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

1.79 Offsides 1.79

15.97 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs Palmeiras with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights